Dangerous Geomagnetic Storms – Likely 2018-2027
Intense geomagnetic storms can cause severe damage to electrical systems and communications.
Solar activity, through solar flares, coronal mass ejections, and solar wind, strongly influences the Earth’s magnetosphere, triggering there a range of complex phenomena such as geomagnetic storms and aurora.
Geomagnetic storms of remarkable intensity may have a potential effect on many aspects of human life, including health effects due to radiation hazards, disruption of electrical systems like communications appliances, navigation systems, satellites, biological mechanisms altered (gene evolution).
———————————————————————————————————–
———————————————————————————————————–
What the Professionals say:
Valentina Zharkova: One of the most trusted Scientist in the field
https://www.northumbria.ac.uk/about-us/our-staff/z/professor-valentina-zharkova/
Valentina Zharkova: The Solar Magnet Field and the Terrestrial Climate
https://watchers.news/2018/11/11/valentina-zharkova-solar-magnet-field-and-terrestrial-climate-presentation/
———————————————————————————————————–
Geomagnetic Storms: An Evaluation of Risks and Risk Assessments By the Office of Risk Management and Analysis
https://www.dhs.gov/xlibrary/assets/rma-geomagnetic-storms.pdf
———————————————————————————————————–
https://www.sszpc.noaa.gov/phenomena/geomagnetic-storms
VIDEO: Coronal Mass Ejection WA State Region 6 Webinar
PDF PARTICLE ACCELERATION AND TRANSPORT DURING 3D CME ERUPTIONS
PDF Oscillations of the baseline of solar magnetic field and solar irradiance on a millennial timescale
PDF Sunquake with a second bounce, other sunquakes, and emission associated with the X9.3 flare of 6 September 2017. II. Proposed interpretation
———————————————————————————————————–
———————————————————————————————————–
Example of past events:
1770 magnetic storm, when red auroras blanketed Japan and parts of China. Captain Cook logged seeing the event.
https://ui.adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/1996QJRAS..37..733W/abstract
https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.3847/2041-8213/aa9661/pdf
———————————————————————————————————–
The Carrington event is the largest geomagnetic storm on record, September 1–2, 1859. The storm caused strong auroral displays and wrought havoc with telegraph systems.
https://spaceweatherarchive.com/2020/08/30/a-warning-from-history-the-carrington-event-was-not-unique/
———————————————————————————————————–
https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.3847/1538-4357/aaca40/meta
———————————————————————————————————–
https://spaceweatherarchive.com/2020/05/12/the-great-geomagnetic-storm-of-may-1921/
———————————————————————————————————–
March 1989, reaching a peak Dst under −600 nT, which caused the collapse of the Hydro-Québec power grid, and resulted in the loss of electrical power to six million people.
https://www.usgs.gov/news/mapping-space-weather-menace-electric-power-grids#:~:text=The%20vulnerability%20of%20modern%20society%20to%20geoelectric%20hazards,6%20million%20people%20without%20electricity%20for%209%20hours.
———————————————————————————————————–
July 15-16, 2000 geomagnetic storm with a peak Dst under −300 nT knocked out communications satellites and is probably an indication that strong geomagnetic storms will become more frequent.
https://irsl.ss.ncu.edu.tw/media/paper/2008081.pdf
———————————————————————————————————–
Some efforts have been recently devoted to estimate the probability of another Carrington event in the next 10 years. https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2011SW000734
———————————————————————————————————–
———————————————————————————————————–
According to mathematical results, the estimated shape parameter of the corresponding Weibull distribution is γ^=e−0.39=0.68, and Eq. 2 with threshold T = −850 nT leads to the scale parameter, τ^=563882 days (1544 years). Knowing that the original Carrington event happened in 1859, about 58000 days ago, one can compute the probability of having a Carrington or more intense event during the next decade (2018–2027) conditioned to the fact that no event like this has happened since 1859.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-019-38918-8
Learn more about Geomagnetic Storms
https://www.empshield.com/death-rays-from-the-sun-the-carrington-event-coronal-mass-ejections/?ref=Teleview&campaign=geekblog whole house lightning surge protection
Learn about devices that can Protect your Assets in the event of a Geomagnetic Storm
https://www.empshield.com/home-protection/?ref=Teleview&campaign=geekblog whole house lightning surge protection
